New order in the Middle East.
New order in the Middle East.
This article is unbiased.
Recent developments in the Middle East. A major operation against Iran is planned. A new Arab-Israeli partnership.
Topics.
1. Abraham Accords
2. Tension in Israel.
3. Major operation against Iran
4. What will Turkey do?
5. The attitude of Russia and China towards Iran.
New order in the Middle East. Recent developments in the Middle East. A major operation against Iran is planned. A new Arab-Israeli partnership.
The US chief of staff went to the north of Syria and held some meetings, the US defense minister went to Israel. With the mediation of China, talks were held on some issues between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
Abraham Accords
Most importantly, it could be a very important agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia. There is a new Israel-based Middle East project that started during the Donald Trump era and continues to this day. This project aimed to re-establish relations between Arab countries and Israel through the Abraham agreement.
The new balance of Politics in the Middle East. Israel wants Saudi Arabia to recognize Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. In response, Saudi Arabia asked Israel to assist with advanced military technology support and nuclear power. At the same time, the tension between Iran and Saudi Arabia should not be forgotten. Saudi Arabia wants to have power in the region.
A new order is being established in the Middle East. Israel is establishing this order. Saudi Arabia is aware of this and wants to take an important place in this new order to be established.
Tension in Israel.
With Benjamin Netanyahu coming to power, riots broke out in Israel. Some important people in Israel said that Joe Bide played a role in the creation of this mess. This is because Joe Biden supports a two-state solution between Israel and Palestine.
The new balance of Politics in the Middle East. In the past, Israel said that it would not give arms to Ukraine and it had a different political relationship with Russia. Now Israel says we can provide arms aid to Ukraine. This means that there is a possibility of a bargain between the USA and Israel. Israel wants to see the US by its side in the military air operation it will organize against Iran.
Major operation against Iran
The new balance of Politics in the Middle East. For this order to be established, Iran must be brought under control.
First, they must destroy Iran’s nuclear weapons production infrastructure. For this project to work, Iran needs to be unstable and under control.
After Iran announced that it was at the final stage in the production of nuclear weapons, Israel launched an air operation against Iran with drones last month and bombed many strategic places. Now they are preparing for the final move. The first operation against Iran was a fragment. A second one is now planned.
For this reason, Israel is trying to keep good relations with other Arab states. Israel wants to get the support of all neighboring countries against Iran.
The new balance of Politics in the Middle East. The Iranian people’s opposition to the current mullah regime, and the Iranian state’s use of harsh military force and weapons to suppress the popular uprisings in Iran, had a great negative impact on the people. In short, the environment is ready to organize a successful operation.
Israel’s close relations with Azerbaijan made Iran very uneasy, so Iran made a strategic mistake and supported Armenia. Iran is afraid that Azerbaijan will support Israel in the operation that Israel will organize against Iran.
It is a big problem for Iran that Iran provides UAVs to Russia and UAV training to Russian soldiers and that it supports Russia and opposes Ukraine.
Presumably, the United States and Britain will directly support a military operation by Israel against Iran.
What will Turkey do?
The new balance of Politics in the Middle East. Turkey may be the only country likely to oppose this operation, which is a bit difficult under current conditions. There will be elections in Turkey and after the big earthquake, Turkey has directed all its power to domestic problems. If an operation is to be carried out against Iran, now is the best time.
Otherwise, Turkey may support Iran.
The reason is that Turkey does not want to receive a second migration to its country.
The attitude of Russia and China towards Iran.
The new balance of Politics in the Middle East. It is very difficult for Russia to support Iran in a possible operation. Russia is now preparing for a final devastating war against Ukraine. It cannot give any support to Iran. China is worried about this operation because of its trade and agreements with Iran. The military operation to be carried out against Iran is not in the interests of China.
China is trying to reconcile Saudi Arabia and Iran, and there have been positive developments in this regard.
China does not want this war to spill over into the Gulf. China’s goal is to maintain energy security and trade.
We will see a lot of news about Iran in the coming days.
International Relations, Threat, and Geopolitics Analyst: Kanan Heydarov
Subject: New order in the Middle East.
Data: 14.03.2023
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